Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.406806 0.479416 0.559400 0.653791 0.761873 0.881493 1.023621
2024-10-20 0.288168 0.381776 0.495470 0.642614 0.826774 1.048315 1.333509
2024-10-27 0.215274 0.316042 0.449209 0.635515 0.886426 1.209252 1.652015
2024-11-03 0.172535 0.277155 0.425885 0.648168 0.966344 1.398807 2.022916
2024-11-10 0.140430 0.244914 0.403565 0.654971 1.034471 1.575169 2.389875
2024-11-17 0.115562 0.217612 0.382276 0.657454 1.093056 1.740037 2.752282
2024-11-24 0.097909 0.197943 0.368594 0.667795 1.161906 1.923153 3.153907
2024-12-01 0.082604 0.178894 0.352159 0.670050 1.216204 2.086591 3.536744
2024-12-08 0.066716 0.155163 0.323270 0.646200 1.223400 2.174611 3.806901
2024-12-15 0.059612 0.147224 0.321523 0.669267 1.311192 2.398087 4.307872
2024-12-22 0.052860 0.138529 0.316749 0.685594 1.387860 2.607935 4.800211
2024-12-29 0.049532 0.136695 0.325155 0.727617 1.514249 2.910836 5.467679
2025-01-05 0.042035 0.123738 0.309033 0.720226 1.549919 3.061934 5.892860
2025-01-12 0.035552 0.111726 0.292952 0.710732 1.580488 3.206371 6.317301
2025-01-19 0.030301 0.101559 0.279189 0.703999 1.615208 3.360183 6.767993
2025-01-26 0.027050 0.096054 0.275355 0.718241 1.693300 3.599988 7.389821
2025-02-02 0.023882 0.089960 0.269012 0.725841 1.757985 3.818399 7.985341
2025-02-09 0.020923 0.083689 0.261105 0.728619 1.812327 4.020040 8.561194
2025-02-16 0.018708 0.079191 0.257047 0.739958 1.886060 4.264620 9.233244
2025-02-23 0.016448 0.073877 0.249814 0.742434 1.940032 4.472684 9.846217
2025-03-02 0.013593 0.065492 0.232302 0.716337 1.926077 4.540072 10.185358
2025-03-09 0.012611 0.063884 0.234368 0.741582 2.033884 4.868153 11.064296
2025-03-16 0.011522 0.061520 0.233725 0.759446 2.125596 5.167703 11.901269